Trade tensions return to the forefront of the global economy

Trade tensions return to the forefront of the global economy

The first part of 2019 was marked by the decline in world trade, which will decrease in volume over the year as a whole according to our forecasts (-0.7%), despite a slight recovery expected in the second half of 2019. At the same time, however, global economic growth is expected to slow by “only” half a percentage point this year (from 3.1% in 2018 to 2.7% in 2019) before remaining stable in 2020. And while corporate insolvencies will increase in two-thirds of countries this year, in most cases the starting point was low. How can this apparent dichotomy between growth and trade be explained?

Please fill in this form to download the publications.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.


Documents recommandés