The immediate impact of the Covid-19 shock on inﬂation has been decidedly deﬂationary, but in light of the brewing cocktail of post-pandemic economic trends, the probability of an inﬂationary overshoot has also risen. In fact, ambivalent market signals suggest that participants are pricing in a higher risk of extreme inﬂation scenarios – on both the downside as well as the upside.
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